CCR 2022 SCIENTIFIC REPORT

CCR at the heart of the scientific ecosystem

CCR designs and develops models to assess the impact of natural and man-made catastrophes in partnership with the leading scientific organisations in the field.

CONTENTS

• Introduction by Antoine Quantin , Chief Underwriting Officer, Public Reinsurance and Guaranty Funds

• 2022/2023 Outlook by David Moncoulon , Head of the Modelling R&D Department

OPERATIONAL DAMAGE FORECASTING CHAIN

• Improved modelling of the probabilistic overflow hazard in France

• Probabilistic exposure model for earthquakes in Metropolitan France

• Development of a multiperil damage platform

DROUGHT

• Understanding the phenomenon of clay shrinking and swelling by means of an indicator aggregated by commune: the magnitude of droughts

• Tree detection from very highresolution imagery data in droughtprone areas

CLIMATE CHANGE

• Estimated damage to crop losses on French farms

• Constant climate simulations and continuous simulations to model extreme events

WARNING AND PREVENTION

• Anticipatory modelling of insurance losses, an application of the PICS research project

• Contribution of CCR models to measure the effectiveness of prevention measures on insured losses

A WIDER RANGE OF MODELS

• Modelling forest fire hazard

• Anticipatory modelling of hurricane damage

INTERNATIONAL

• Multi-hazard event typology for Western Europe

• Improving knowledge of the exposure of Moroccan buildings to flooding

• CCR Nat Cat Award

• Looking Back to 2021

• Looking Back to 2022

• Citations and Publications