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  • Pages
  • Editions
01 Home
02 Introduction
03 OPERATIONAL DAMAGE FORECASTING CHAIN
04 Improvement of the probabilistic overflow hazard modelling chain in France
05 Probabilistic exposure model for earthquakes in Metropolitan Franceaux séismes en France métropolitaine
06 Development of a multiperil damage platform
07 DROUGHT
08 Understanding the phenomenon of clay shrinking and swelling by means of an indicator aggregated by commune: the magnitude of droughts
09 Tree detection from very high-resolution imagery data in drought-prone areas
10 CLIMATE CHANGE
11 Estimated damage to crop losses on French farms
12 Constant climate simulations and continuous simulations to model extreme events
13 WARNING AND PREVENTION
14 Anticipatory modelling of insurance losses, an application of the PICS research project
15 Contribution of CCR models to measure the effectiveness of prevention measures on insured losses
16 A WIDER MODEL SCOPE
17 Modelling forest fire hazard
18 Anticipatory modelling of hurricane damage
19 INTERNATIONAL
20 Multi-hazard event typology for Western Europe
21 Improving knowledge of the exposure of Moroccan buildings to flooding
22 CCR NAT CAT AWARD
23 LOOKING BACK TO 2021
24 LOOKING BACK TO 2022
25 CITATIONS & PUBLICATIONS
26 INFOS & RÉSEAUX SOCIAUX

A WIDER MODEL SCOPE

Modelling forest fire hazard

As forest fire damage is not covered in France by the natural catastrophe compensation scheme, CCR only recently started working on this subject, in 2021. A first analysis carried out with the Euro Institute of Actuaries of the University of Western Brittany made it possible to design a Cat model based on machine-learning methods. To continue this work, an internship aimed at improving the physical modelling of the hazard. The objective of this paper is to present the hazard model developed to model the occurrence and spread of forest fires.

Quentin Jolivet and Roxane Marchal

Anticipatory modelling of hurricane damage

Cyclones are extreme weather events that cause significant damage in the overseas territories. To establish an automated hurricane watch and to be able to forecast the consequences of a hurricane in terms of insured losses, CCR, in collaboration with RiskWeatherTech, has set up an operational chain for the monitoring and modelling of cyclone activity in the Antilles and Réunion Island.

Blandine L’Hévéder, Gilles André, Léa Boittin and Roxane Marchal