CLIMATE CHANGE
This paper presents the impact model developed by CCR to estimate the damage to soft winter wheat, winter barley and grassland resulting from extreme drought and excess water events. The model integrates the representation of climate hazard, the simulation of crop losses by department and the quantification of the economic consequences at individual level. The results presented show different risk profiles for different sectors.
Dorothée Kapsambelis, David Moncoulon and Jean Cordier
This article presents a comparison of constant climate simulations of the ARPEGE-Climat model of Météo-France and the climate trajectories simulated by the EURO-CORDEX models for the modelling of extreme drought events over Metropolitan France in the future according to IPCC’s RCP 8.5 scenario. The results show that for specific studies on extreme events, due to their small number of representations, it is necessary to have a large panel of climatic events over the same target year to be able to characterise them.
Dorothée Kapsambelis, Martine Veysseire and David Moncoulon