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  • Pages
  • Editions
01 Home
02 Introduction
03 OPERATIONAL DAMAGE FORECASTING CHAIN
04 Improvement of the probabilistic overflow hazard modelling chain in France
05 Probabilistic exposure model for earthquakes in Metropolitan Franceaux séismes en France métropolitaine
06 Development of a multiperil damage platform
07 DROUGHT
08 Understanding the phenomenon of clay shrinking and swelling by means of an indicator aggregated by commune: the magnitude of droughts
09 Tree detection from very high-resolution imagery data in drought-prone areas
10 CLIMATE CHANGE
11 Estimated damage to crop losses on French farms
12 Constant climate simulations and continuous simulations to model extreme events
13 WARNING AND PREVENTION
14 Anticipatory modelling of insurance losses, an application of the PICS research project
15 Contribution of CCR models to measure the effectiveness of prevention measures on insured losses
16 A WIDER MODEL SCOPE
17 Modelling forest fire hazard
18 Anticipatory modelling of hurricane damage
19 INTERNATIONAL
20 Multi-hazard event typology for Western Europe
21 Improving knowledge of the exposure of Moroccan buildings to flooding
22 CCR NAT CAT AWARD
23 LOOKING BACK TO 2021
24 LOOKING BACK TO 2022
25 CITATIONS & PUBLICATIONS
26 INFOS & RÉSEAUX SOCIAUX

CLIMATE CHANGE

Estimated damage to crop losses on French farms

This paper presents the impact model developed by CCR to estimate the damage to soft winter wheat, winter barley and grassland resulting from extreme drought and excess water events. The model integrates the representation of climate hazard, the simulation of crop losses by department and the quantification of the economic consequences at individual level. The results presented show different risk profiles for different sectors.

Dorothée Kapsambelis, David Moncoulon and Jean Cordier

Constant climate simulations and continuous simulations to model extreme events

This article presents a comparison of constant climate simulations of the ARPEGE-Climat model of Météo-France and the climate trajectories simulated by the EURO-CORDEX models for the modelling of extreme drought events over Metropolitan France in the future according to IPCC’s RCP 8.5 scenario. The results show that for specific studies on extreme events, due to their small number of representations, it is necessary to have a large panel of climatic events over the same target year to be able to characterise them.

Dorothée Kapsambelis, Martine Veysseire and David Moncoulon